The values of home ownership aren't debatable--but in today's market, it's more important than ever to reflect on the pros and cons before making the big decision. Should anyone buy a home in this market? Is the economy too unpredictable? Should you wait?
These issues are plaguing many families right now, and there is no simple answer.
I've put together a list of essential questions to help you discover if now is a good time for you to buy. First there are the simple mathematical questions, and then there are the more existential ones:
1. Can you afford to put 20% down and carry a 30yr mortgage, or put 10% down, carry a 30yr mortgage, and pay PMI (private mortgage insurance), or put 5% down and get an expensive FHA loan? There are some shorter fixed periods than the 30yr fixed which may be good in some circumstances, but I am going to take the conservative route and ask you if you can afford payments on a 30yr fixed loan. Can you weather the economy's ups and downs? If no, then you should not try to buy now. If yes, move on to the next question. If you do not know, search out a good lender and talk with them. DON'T use internet calculations. They won't provide a dependable answer.
2. Are you planning on staying in this home for at least 5 years and maybe longer? If you have to move can you afford to to keep your home as a rental? If you don't know, don't buy. At this moment in the Silicon Valley I can't think of any homes worth less than they were 10 years ago. Most are still worth more than they were 5 years ago. If you can't commit to at least 5 years stop here. If not, move on to the next question.
3. Do you have a very specific goal in mind that can be achieved in a specific location? For example, are you trying to buy a home in Palo Alto so your children can attend schools there? Has the soft market enabled you to do that? If so, then this is a great time to buy. If you do not buy soon prices or interest rates could conceivably go higher and lock you out. It's also possible that prices could go lower, but are you willing and able to take that gamble with your children's education? If you are willing and able, then wait, and you might get a better deal.
4. Are you easily pleased, or specific about what you want and need in a home? If you are flexible regarding what you want in a home, and are more interested in getting the best prices, then there is no reason to rush into buying if you think prices will drop or inventory will skyrocket. However, if you are very picky or have specific needs that aren't found in many homes, when you find what you want, BUY IT. For example, if you're sound sensitive and find an affordable home where noise is not an issue in an area that has few quiet places to live, then you are a good candidate for buying now. Are you looking for a one story town home that has central air, a nice patio, and an attached garage? Trust me, these are not a dime a dozen. If you find what you want, buy it!
5. Do you want a new home in an area where there is not a lot of room to build? Right now there is a large inventory of new homes. If you live in a city where there is little room to expand this is probably a great time to buy a new home. Builders are very generous with their upgrades and a few years from now there may not be as many developments to choose from in centrally located areas. There are a number of new developments in San Mateo and Santa Clara counties right now, but there is not a lot of empty land. There may not be as much new inventory in coming years.
We're still left with the question: Why should anyone buy in this market? Clearly, the answer isn't simple, although hopefully my guide brought you closer to understanding your options. With some soul-searching and advice from a trusted Realtor and Lender, the answer will get clearer for you. Good luck!
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