Saturday, October 18, 2008

C.A.R Market Matters, October 16

Thursday, October 16, 2008
Brought to you by the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

Wall Street Journal

Mortgage Lending for Sellers
Due to stricter loan underwriting standards and increased difficulty for some borrowers to qualify for a loan, even for those who are well-qualified, more sellers are offering financing to potential home buyers, which some believe can be mutually beneficial to both buyers and sellers, and can give sellers a competitive edge.

MAKING SENSE OF THE STORY FOR CONSUMERS

In addition to sellers receiving a steady flow of income by providing financing to home buyers, sellers also can profit from the interest payments. Sellers also may be able to sell the mortgage on the secondary market, thus reducing their risk. However, seller-financing is not always the best option. Sellers who need the equity from their current home to purchase their next one are advised to not offer seller financing. 

Buyers, especially those who are self employed, work on commission, or have lower credit scores, but can explain the circumstances that led to it, also may benefit from seller financing. often times, these buyers do not qualify for traditional, conforming loans, reducing their ability to become homeowners. 

To reduce the risk of possible loan default, most real estate professionals recommend that sellers request a down payment of at least 10%, especially if the buyer does not have an ideal credit score. Buyers who do not have a large financial stake in the home may be more likely to default than those with a more substantial down payment. It is also recommended that sellers work with a real estate attorney to draft a contract that includes possible implications if the buyer issues a late payment, defaults on the loan or neglects to adequately insure the property. Sellers also should work with an experienced loan servicer who can collect payments and keep records.


Los Angeles Times

California REALTORS forecast lower home prices, rising sales in 2009
The California Association of Realtors on WEdnesday presented its "2009 Housing Market Forecast," at California Realtor Expo 2008 in Long Beach, Calif. The annual forecast drew a crowd of more than 1,200 real estate industry professionals who learned what consumers and the real estate industry can expect for California's housing market next year. 

MAKING SENSE OF THE STORY FOR CONSUMERS

Sales of existing family homes are expected to increase in 2009 by 12.5 percent, to 445,000 units. In August, sales were 85% above the monthly for the current cycle and for the first time this year were ahead of 2007 in year-to-date terms.

Although the median home price is expected to decline by 6% in 2009, to $358,000, the lower home price likely will increase the state's affordability rate, currently at 48%, enabling more first-time home buyers to enter the market. C.A.R anticipates home prices will stabilize once inventory thins out. In August, the Unsold Inventory Index stood at 6.7 months, down from 16.9 months in January 2008, meaning that it would take approximately 6.7 months to deplete the market at the current sales rate. 

The ability of consumers to obtain financing continues to play a vital role in stabilizing home prices. Currently, buyers with at least 10% available for a down payment, proof of income and excellent credit scores may qualify for conforming loans--mortgage loans that are $729,750 or less.


Wall Street Journal

No quick fix for Housing Prices
The recently enacted government rescue plan, which includes the U.S government taking stakes in major financial institutions and temporarily guaranteeing new bank debt, is expected to stabilize the economy. However, some economists believe that additional measures are needed to help stimulate the demand for housing and reduce mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures. 

MAKING SENSE OF THE STORY FOR CONSUMERS

In July, the government approved a permanent loan limit increase--from $417,00 to $625,000--on mortgages backed by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA), which some analysts believe is helping more homeowners obtain mortgages, especially in high-cost areas like California.  In September, 28% of home purchases were financed with FHA mortgages, an increase from 19% in August. This year, more than twice as many home buyers sought government-backed mortgages than did those who did so last year.

Although the government program, Hope for Homeowners, aims to assist homeowners by helping them refinance their current mortgage loans into more affordable ones in exchange for the homeowners sharing price appreciation with the government, some experts believe that the program will not assist enough homeowners. Hope for Homeowners will help 400,000 homeowners who are in default or foreclosure; however, some estimates show that there are nearly 12 million Americans who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are currently worth. Homeowners at risk of defaulting on their mortgage should contact their mortgage company as soon as possible to explore options including loan modification.

Some economists believe that mortgage rates, although still at historic lows, need to decline to 5.25 percent in order to attract more home buyers and deplete the current supply of homes on the market.


In Other News...

San Francisco Chronicle

Sacramento Bee

CNN 

Los Angeles Times

Wall Street Journal

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